Pungent-Subtitle
0x13a731e4d090b40e6b419855a166ce4019fcc838
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$40.63
Total PnL
$-823.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
6250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.63
$-9.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
1099 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
1075 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
1060 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
764 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
708 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?
686 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Despicable Me" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)
505 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)$7.18Jul 23, 17:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?$5.19Jul 11, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?$10.43Jul 11, 15:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $11.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.