Somber-Polyp
0x13a76230f2764008cc1d79dfcf4e1b735efa903f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.50
Total PnL
$-45.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$11.50
$1.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
14 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in November?
12 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
8 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 24, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$10.00Feb 24, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$6.94Jan 22, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$10.53Jan 22, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?$11.24Jan 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in November?$5.00Nov 8, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$5.21Nov 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$5.00Nov 8, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5.00Nov 8, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$10.00Nov 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5.00Nov 8, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.97Nov 8, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?$0.00Nov 8, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?$0.00Nov 8, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in November?$1.00Nov 7, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?$10.00Nov 7, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 6?$2.00Nov 5, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?$5.00Nov 5, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?$1.00Nov 5, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$5.00Nov 5, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".