Grimy-Breastplate
0x13ad9e8beeab772ff7095bf4aa5cba99ea8365fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$36.24
Realised
$282.13
Win rate
95%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Rob Rausch win The Traitors US: Season 4?
2105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 28?
2035 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- NO
Will Botafogo FC vs. AC Goianiense end in a draw?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Karachi Kings - Team Top Batter Quetta Gladiators Winner
1975 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Samoa vs Vanuatu - Most Sixes Vanuatu Winner
1942 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?
1860 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- EVEN
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
1839 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- NO
Will AD Pasto vs. CD La Equidad Seguros end in a draw?
1739 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 4.5
1605 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- WALTHER
WTT - Men's Singles: Andrej Gacina vs Ricardo Walther
1580 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.02Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.11Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.11Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in July?$1.72Jul 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.21Jul 28, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$0.35Jul 28, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage$0.21Jul 28, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.06Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.86Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$0.02Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$0.12Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$1.44Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.06Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.35Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.28Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?$0.05Jul 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$3.95Jul 28, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$0.07Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGames Total: O/U 2.5$2.37Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner$0.46Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 22/100.
61 closed markets, 95% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.