Sweet-Wasp
0x13b67565c8098b7fdcbdb8d7bd311f11989bc633
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.72
Total PnL
$-87.12
Realised
$505.26
Win rate
96%
119 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1220 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.27
$-2.66
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
708 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$-0.64
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?
703 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.16
$-1.60
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
980 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.94
$-1.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
810 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.83
$-3.65
- YES
Will Solana reach $130 in July?
1062 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.65
$-0.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.45
$-1.75
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
946 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.36
$-1.24
- YES
Will BNB dip to $400 in July?
780 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.56
$-1.58
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in July?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 26?$0.70Jul 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 26?$0.00Jul 26, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in July?$0.59Jul 26, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 26?$0.30Jul 26, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 26?$0.07Jul 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 26?$0.04Jul 26, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 26?$0.06Jul 26, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?$5.37Jul 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$0.01Jul 26, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in July?$0.02Jul 26, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$0.01Jul 26, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 26?$0.16Jul 26, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 26?$0.08Jul 26, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 26?$0.05Jul 26, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in July?$0.00Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$0.01Jul 25, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 26?$0.01Jul 25, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $80 in July?$4.67Jul 25, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in July?$0.48Jul 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?$0.02Jul 25, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 119 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
119 closed markets, 96% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 119 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.