Positive-Relation
0x13bb81c6ece3a058b8abaa1a468f7dab2f7ba36c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.2K
Realised
$-448.66
Win rate
48%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- TRISTAN SCHOOLKATE
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkate
3422 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 28?
2726 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-267.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 28?
2707 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.13
- TALLON GRIEKSPOOR
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor
2678 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-488.32
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 20?
2321 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- HUGO DELLIEN
Sao Leopoldo: Facundo Acosta vs Hugo Dellien
1899 shares @ 75.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
1666 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-542.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
1552 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
1386 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-612.72
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 7PM ET
1253 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-449.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?$1.77May 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?$1.06May 30, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$3.91May 30, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce$1.72May 30, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce$1.01May 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien$1.22May 29, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.25May 25, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.10May 25, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRoland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges$4.10May 24, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelka$1.02May 24, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges$3.02May 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?$1.53May 24, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?$3.48May 24, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?$3.04May 23, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 26?$2.79May 23, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?$1.06May 23, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?$2.08May 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul$0.77May 23, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGeneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien$1.87May 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul$3.04May 23, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.