Austere-Nose
0x13c09e6aeb724ea125050b4adc7e4c3efd83156a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.24
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?
1 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
20978 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?
883 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
747 shares @ 80.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
- YES
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?
102 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
23 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?$1.00Mar 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?$1.25Mar 15, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?$1.00Mar 15, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$5.00Nov 13, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$400.00Nov 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$100.00Nov 12, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $4200 on September 5?$506.07Nov 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$100.00Nov 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $4300 on September 5?$0.11Sep 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4200 on September 5?$500.00Sep 5, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4300 on September 5?$100.00Sep 5, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $2.70 in August?$292.05Sep 1, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?$100.00Sep 1, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $2.70 in August?$50.00Sep 1, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$279.20Aug 31, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $2.70 in August?$200.00Aug 31, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMMariners vs. Guardians$109.35Aug 31, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMariners vs. Guardians$100.00Aug 31, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?$514.39Aug 30, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?$509.76Aug 30, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $288.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.