Black-Text
0x13ca4cefcd2eae893ff60f773aafe1e8ca649351
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$49.83
Total PnL
$-0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 23?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$19.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana reach $160 in July?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.99
$0.02
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.99
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $110 July 20-26?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$9.85
$-0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum above 1,870 on July 22, 9PM ET?$20.00Jul 23, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,870 on July 22, 9PM ET?$19.98Jul 23, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 July 20-26?$9.99Jul 23, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?$9.99Jul 23, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 23?$19.98Jul 23, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 20?$10.00Jul 20, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?$10.00Jul 20, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?$20.00Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?$20.00Jul 20, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above 66,400 on July 19, 10PM ET?$3.91Jul 20, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 July 13-19?$19.98Jul 20, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 20?$9.98Jul 20, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 66,400 on July 19, 10PM ET?$3.91Jul 20, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?$9.98Jul 20, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?$19.98Jul 20, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 13-19?$19.96Jul 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 July 13-19?$19.98Jul 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 13-19?$19.93Jul 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 July 13-19?$8.98Jul 18, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17?$10.00Jul 17, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $18.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.