Fortunate-Seizure
0x13cab392c03d5f0569a4779be66f57ae0cae5bb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?$20.30Oct 11, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFalcons vs. Saints$21.40Sep 27, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?$0.00Sep 27, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the match be a draw?$0.00Sep 27, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?$36.70Sep 2, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $150 on August 16?$61.82Aug 20, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $150 on August 16?$34.00Aug 14, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?$39.77Aug 12, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?$27.84Aug 1, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMBiden recorded crying in July?$24.02Aug 1, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden recorded crying in July?$22.10Jul 23, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crack" during RNC speech?$39.92Jul 23, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crack" during RNC speech?$33.93Jul 17, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match be a draw?$15.15Jul 2, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $26.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.