Frilly-Headache
0x13cc015cc2ff20eb34b70a034a678f53b4b5d039
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$702.01
Total PnL
$-101.06
Realised
$-23.54
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
391 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$391.01
$20.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
38 shares @ 88.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$38.00
$4.48
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
35 shares @ 52.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$35.00
$16.64
- YES
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?
33 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$33.00
$8.58
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
30 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$30.00
$6.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
29 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$29.00
$20.59
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
18 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$18.00
$5.58
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
18 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$18.00
$4.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
15 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$15.00
$10.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$14.00
$4.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$6.12Jan 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$5.89Jan 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,500,000?$3.23Jan 15, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$2.16Jan 15, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$3.45Jan 15, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?$1.26Jan 15, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$3.33Jan 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$2.96Jan 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?$16.28Jan 15, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?$4.44Jan 15, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?$3.70Jan 15, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$8.05Jan 15, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$2.00Jan 15, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$7.68Jan 15, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$11.97Jan 15, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$2.20Jan 14, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$7.80Jan 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?$1.62Jan 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$11.97Jan 14, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 14 be greater than 1,900,000?$8.32Jan 14, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".