0x13d983e27f8a7441a19a20d7a0001fe312459bae
0x13d983e27f8a7441a19a20d7a0001fe312459bae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-459.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
974 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?
716 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
591 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?
557 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
519 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)
101 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$16.30May 23, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$0.58May 23, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$13.33May 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% in April?$5.25May 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$10.00Apr 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 9, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$15.15Apr 8, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$5.00Apr 7, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.42Apr 5, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$62.29Apr 2, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$19.23Apr 2, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$20.00Apr 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?$50.00Apr 1, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$15.00Apr 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?$5.00Apr 1, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Mar 31, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$5.00Mar 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$10.00Mar 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?$7.95Mar 31, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.