Old-Fashioned-Handholding-Viscose
0x13defc247ffbcce522383400ba9430994fb9fd91
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$251.46
Total PnL
$-333.14
Realised
$-190.54
Win rate
19%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?
79 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$34.26
$-1.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?
32 shares @ 60.9¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$19.78
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?
35 shares @ 63.1¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$19.14
$-2.83
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 29?
62 shares @ 45.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$19.08
$-8.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 27?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$16.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 29?
31 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$14.57
$-1.24
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?
23 shares @ 61.5¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$13.07
$-1.17
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 28?
22 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$12.21
$-0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$11.45
$1.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?
16 shares @ 60.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$8.79
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?$1.00Jun 27, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 28?$2.30Jun 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?$4.42Jun 27, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?$3.42Jun 27, 14:48 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?$16.84Jun 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?$18.30Jun 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 28?$1.24Jun 27, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 29?$1.60Jun 27, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 29?$3.20Jun 27, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?$9.77Jun 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?$2.92Jun 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?$1.31Jun 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?$45.47Jun 27, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 28?$24.06Jun 27, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?$7.09Jun 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 27?$6.33Jun 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 27?$3.35Jun 27, 14:37 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?$13.96Jun 27, 14:36 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 27?$5.09Jun 27, 14:36 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 27?$6.62Jun 27, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
63 closed markets, 19% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 14:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.