Old-Fashioned-Handholding-Viscose
0x13defc247ffbcce522383400ba9430994fb9fd91
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-832.50
Realised
$-223.92
Win rate
32%
109 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
150 shares @ 78.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$107.25
$-9.75
- NO
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
73 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$52.60
$-0.36
- NO
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
96 shares @ 73.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2027$50.94
$-19.22
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
63 shares @ 74.5¢·now 74.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$46.97
$0.03
- NO
Will Wednesday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?
60 shares @ 79.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$42.90
$-4.50
- NO
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
68 shares @ 72.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 10, 2026$41.13
$-7.82
- NO
Will Terry McLaurin have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
50 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$39.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Gen.G Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$36.50
$-1.00
- NO
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?
65 shares @ 72.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2027$36.46
$-10.42
- NO
Will BBL Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.75
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 16?$4.17Aug 16, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 16?$1.00Aug 16, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 16?$4.86Aug 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BBL Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?$3.73Aug 16, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?$4.34Aug 16, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 16?$43.09Aug 16, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?$13.32Aug 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 16?$1.80Aug 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?$51.83Aug 16, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 16?$4.16Aug 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 16?$0.23Aug 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 17?$4.97Aug 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 16?$13.22Aug 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 18?$0.32Aug 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 16?$12.16Aug 16, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wednesday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?$47.40Aug 16, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 16?$1.92Aug 16, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 16?$1.27Aug 16, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 16?$1.92Aug 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?$48.95Aug 16, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 109 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
109 closed markets, 32% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $14.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 00:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 109 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.