0x13e23e1bbd42d7707efc8aadcb7c4747bb101d4d
0x13e23e1bbd42d7707efc8aadcb7c4747bb101d4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-609.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
4167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
944 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?
435 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?
250 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
240 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-177.77
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$87.75Jul 6, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$180.05Jun 29, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$9.05Jun 29, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$171.37Jun 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$9.29Jun 29, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$101.76Jun 29, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$7.19Jun 27, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$92.18Jun 26, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$100.00Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$61.02Jun 26, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$102.78Jun 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-25?$102.81Jun 26, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$0.00Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$0.00Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$0.00Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$0.00Jun 26, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5$206.10Jun 25, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$50.25Jun 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$154.84Jun 25, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$102.86Jun 25, 12:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $96.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 21:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.