Far-Flung-Wisteria
0x13e427ef6f57d2fabc62014f9b7f72c212bd0f00
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$374.12
Total PnL
$-26.65
Realised
$9.16
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 10?
142 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$142.46
$4.99
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 22?
83 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$82.59
$2.06
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 19 be less than 2,250,000?
77 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$76.59
$0.61
- NO
Will Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?
43 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$42.86
$1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?
15 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$15.48
$0.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 21?
14 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$14.14
$0.13
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $240?
195 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
136 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
133 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-12.54
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?
133 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 21?$14.01Jul 20, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 22?$0.00Jul 6, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22?$0.00Jul 6, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?$0.00Jul 6, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 3?$0.00Jul 6, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?$0.00Jul 6, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?$0.00Jul 6, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 19 be less than 2,250,000?$0.00Jul 6, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 22?$0.00Jul 6, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 10?$0.00Jul 6, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?$15.15Jul 6, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 22?$12.50Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22?$13.39Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?$13.54Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 3?$17.10Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?$18.09Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul win by decision or technical decision?$0.00Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 19 be less than 2,250,000?$0.00Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 22?$0.00Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 10?$0.00Jul 6, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $33.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 05:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.