Well-Documented-Snail
0x13f0ef5e45b1686e6a471eea3b4a76f2f30925ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$142.57
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
5188 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 16?
1402 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1234 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1234 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ET
844 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-83.04
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
666 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
666 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
600 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
560 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-407.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10PM ET
523 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$20.00Apr 7, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$199.95Apr 7, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$200.00Apr 7, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$2.10Apr 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.27Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.99Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.87Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.63Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.24Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.00Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.73Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.65Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.30Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.64Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.41Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.31Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.12Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.18Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.43Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.61Apr 3, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 23:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.