Knowing-Allowance
0x13f16e7f385602e2517453f5d09047b3ad0ba389
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.47
Total PnL
$-36.14
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.27
$0.74
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.21
$0.11
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET
255 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
123 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?$0.70Feb 23, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$2.83Feb 23, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$1.70Feb 23, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?$1.79Feb 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$0.04Feb 21, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$0.10Feb 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$0.14Feb 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$0.13Feb 21, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$0.66Feb 21, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$1.22Feb 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$2.15Feb 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10AM ET$2.04Feb 17, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$3.83Feb 17, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$11.06Feb 17, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.99Feb 17, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.13Feb 17, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$40.73Feb 17, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".