Wallet digest

active

Activity score

59/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$1.97

Total PnL

$-1.2K

Realised

$3.15

Win rate

60%

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 90

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$1.97
$0.77
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1400 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-13.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
85 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-59.83
YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
77 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-19.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
76 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026
$0.00
$-41.24
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
68 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-41.43
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
67 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-25.28
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
63 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026
$0.00
$-31.45
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
60 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$0.00
$-19.77
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
60 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-30.79

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.22Mar 6, 14:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.97Mar 6, 14:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.23Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.66Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.62Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.04Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.14Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.54Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.42Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05Mar 6, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.38Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.14Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.02Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.54Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.14Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.58Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.46Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.17Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.17Mar 6, 13:31 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry77 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk68 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $1.28
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 6, 13:31 UTC
Last active: Mar 6, 14:40 UTC
Win rate sample: 5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:41:46 UTC·src:Polymarket Data