Pessimistic-Taro
0x13f4b9fc653b16a75033be8c552d2dd20dd71c68
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?
57 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Djibouti win on 2025-10-08?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Djibouti vs. Egypt end in a draw?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chad win on 2025-10-08?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will British Virgin Islands win on 2025-10-08?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mauritius vs. Cameroon end in a draw?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$15.00Dec 1, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$24.69Nov 19, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mauritius win on 2025-10-08?$0.00Oct 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.55Oct 8, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad win on 2025-10-08?$1.00Oct 8, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill British Virgin Islands win on 2025-10-08?$1.00Oct 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauritius vs. Cameroon end in a draw?$1.00Oct 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Djibouti win on 2025-10-08?$1.00Oct 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Djibouti vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.00Oct 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauritius win on 2025-10-08?$1.00Oct 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?$1.00Sep 14, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?$1.00Sep 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?$1.00Sep 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?$1.00Sep 14, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.00Sep 14, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus win on 2025-09-13?$3.57Sep 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-09-13?$1.00Sep 13, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jul 31, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jul 31, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0.00Jul 8, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".