0x14022f535b1902efef8c18f2f7ad2a7aeab02a18
0x14022f535b1902efef8c18f2f7ad2a7aeab02a18
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 9?
214 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 9?
189 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 9?
188 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 9?
155 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 9?
107 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or below on March 9?
97 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 9?
64 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 9?
62 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 9?
53 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 9?
46 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 9?$2.51Mar 9, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 9?$0.22Mar 9, 14:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?$0.83Mar 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?$2.16Mar 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 9?$1.40Mar 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 9?$1.15Mar 9, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 11?$0.65Mar 9, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 9?$3.21Mar 9, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 9?$0.16Mar 9, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 9?$8.90Mar 9, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?$1.80Mar 9, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 9?$0.23Mar 9, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 9?$1.80Mar 9, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 9?$0.46Mar 9, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 9?$1.80Mar 9, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 9?$0.15Mar 9, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 9?$1.80Mar 9, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 9?$1.25Mar 9, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 9?$1.80Mar 9, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 9?$1.80Mar 9, 05:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.