Busy-Manor
0x1405a1e9f22d919f73debd963317da588acb9d12
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.23
Total PnL
$-7.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.23
$0.06
- YES
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
2640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
890 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
620 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on February 13?
177 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?$2.64Feb 14, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.24Feb 13, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.78Feb 13, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 47°F or higher on February 13?$1.59Feb 13, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?$0.00Feb 5, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill another person be the next President of Croatia?$0.00Feb 5, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.17Jan 21, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person be the next President of Croatia?$2.98Jan 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?$1.37Dec 29, 10:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".