Cold-Autumn
0x1406266e7c7297ba7b271f9e98d65fa0c17b6c53
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-696.21
Realised
$5.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
414 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?
248 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
141 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
133 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
81 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2300 and $2400 on May 27?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on May 30?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?$14.71May 10, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$19.61May 10, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump end DOGE in 2025?$20.00May 10, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$24.68May 10, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$40.00May 10, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$71.21May 10, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$86.96May 10, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Gold" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$5.81Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "David Sacks" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$7.35Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$8.47Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Blockchain" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$11.11Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$26.32Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on May 30?$28.57Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before July?$71.43Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMCircle IPO in 2025?$110.97Sep 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$20.00Jun 24, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$200.00Jun 24, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump end DOGE in 2025?$10.00Jun 5, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$37.00Jun 5, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$20.00Jun 5, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 09:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".