Orderly-Enjoyment
0x14165bf6abd810c8de4e44926f66fe3543248d60
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.58
Total PnL
$-28.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Trump claim victory by midnight?
518 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
171 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- KT ROLSTER
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
12 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Dec 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$2.00Nov 28, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$3.00Nov 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$4.68Nov 5, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?$1.00Nov 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$1.75Nov 1, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)$8.00Oct 31, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMKamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday? $0.00Oct 4, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMKamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday? $10.00Oct 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump claim victory by midnight? $3.96Nov 6, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$0.00Nov 6, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday? $3.00Nov 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.00Nov 6, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$5.00Jan 3, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $3.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.