Hearty-Fiesta-Gasoline
0x1417079182219ac73f38f9d38c7e19d604c27955
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-118.25
Realised
$-2.85
Win rate
6%
95 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
468 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
191 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
61 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?
21 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.23Jul 14, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$0.00Jul 13, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.04Jul 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$1.06Jul 13, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.07Jul 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on July 13?$1.06Jul 13, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.47Jul 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.47Jul 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$0.95Jul 13, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.37Jul 13, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.03Jul 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$1.06Jul 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.23Jul 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.61Jul 11, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.50Jul 11, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.05Jul 11, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.89Jul 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.03Jul 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.12Jul 11, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.16Jul 11, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 95 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
95 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 95 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.