Violet-Thought
0x1417b6fd7444b2f1091b5c8357cf89ecafb238af
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$15.23
Total PnL
$-659.53
Realised
$1.99
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.35
$0.75
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.19
$-0.01
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.29
$-0.51
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 8.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.87
$0.21
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.79
$-0.41
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$-0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 8?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?$50.00Jun 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?$49.30Jun 3, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 2?$100.00Jun 3, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?$3.33Jun 3, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?$3.16Jun 2, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?$0.62Jun 2, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?$111.00Jun 2, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?$0.53Jun 2, 01:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 2?$99.10Jun 1, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?$49.05Jun 1, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?$9.82Jun 1, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?$9.83Jun 1, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?$9.84Jun 1, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 1?$9.85Jun 1, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?$43.36Jun 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?$1.35Jun 1, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?$1.76Jun 1, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $19.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".