Improbable-Matchmaker
0x141f65fd38bf78dd090851693dedc947d190b2d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-784.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?
3804 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-741.14
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 20% and 25% of the vote in the South Korea election?
2770 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-27.30
- YES
Will Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?
903 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-16.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$94.03May 29, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$100.00May 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$360.00May 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$19.00May 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$18.90May 29, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?$149.21May 29, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.14May 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 20% and 25% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.07May 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 20% and 25% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.04May 29, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?$4.41May 29, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?$9.80May 29, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 20% and 25% of the vote in the South Korea election?$21.97May 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 20% and 25% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.22May 29, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.20May 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Moon-soo win between 25% and 30% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.47May 29, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $52.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".