Exalted-Audit
0x1433d9182bd548712a722ffb374d57bb28b0af79
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$30.65
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$42.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1393 shares @ 15.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.65
$-178.35
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
120960 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-469.21
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
5044 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-404.30
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
3687 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-168.99
- YES
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2753 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
2632 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?
2584 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1392 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-320.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
1179 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-306.50
- YES
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
1045 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$90.00Apr 12, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$40.00Apr 12, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$46.10Apr 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?$200.00Apr 10, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$119.30Mar 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$99.00Mar 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$209.00Mar 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$40.00Mar 16, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$30.00Mar 16, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$60.00Mar 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$60.00Mar 8, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$150.00Mar 6, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$284.31Mar 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$200.00Mar 5, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMKuzmanov vs. Crawford: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$392.16Mar 5, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMKuzmanov vs. Crawford: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$392.16Mar 5, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuzmanov vs. Crawford: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$400.00Feb 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKuzmanov vs. Crawford: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$400.00Feb 22, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$121.91Dec 7, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$200.00Dec 7, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $114.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 11:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".