Better-Bangle
0x14361d8fc8c648c243ef3379845fa9097d593e11
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$171.64
Total PnL
$-139.51
Realised
$-9.25
Win rate
26%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?
54 shares @ 9.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$53.90
$48.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$21.00
$15.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?
49 shares @ 9.1¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$20.41
$15.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$19.50
$14.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
48 shares @ 9.1¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$12.89
$8.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$12.30
$6.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$9.90
$4.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$8.10
$2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?
49 shares @ 9.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$5.63
$1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 14?
60 shares @ 9.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.49
$-2.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 13?$0.08Jul 12, 12:52 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in London on July 14?$60.00Jul 12, 05:04 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 14?$60.00Jul 12, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?$51.35Jul 12, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 12?$0.01Jul 11, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 12?$0.02Jul 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on July 13?$0.01Jul 11, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 13?$0.01Jul 11, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C or higher on July 12?$0.01Jul 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 12?$0.01Jul 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 13?$0.01Jul 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 13?$0.75Jul 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 13?$0.04Jul 11, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?$0.55Jul 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 13?$0.14Jul 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?$0.97Jul 11, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 12?$0.15Jul 11, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?$0.00Jul 11, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 3?$0.00Jul 11, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?$0.00Jul 11, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.