Healthy-Middleman
0x14394f483278fbed3e45e3e1c3996c70c09500de
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$535.78
Total PnL
$-77.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2619 shares @ 27.4¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$506.78
$-210.83
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
40 shares @ 79.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.00
$-2.60
- UNDER
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5
66666 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-31.3K
- KINGS
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)
52000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-26.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ET
33000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-16.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2AM ET
5800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- BLUE JACKETS
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
513 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-179.48
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
80 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- ROCKETS
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
73 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-58.79
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.