Treasured-Glow
0x143a1bb3f9d92e16027ceede21893bf80e19daf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.31
Total PnL
$-52.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1532 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by December 31?$0.00Jan 6, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.00Jan 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$1.00Jan 5, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$1.00Jan 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 4, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.00Jan 3, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike 1 country in 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?$1.00Jan 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?$1.00Jan 3, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 18:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".