Busy-Consensus
0x143bf689f41bd75a4eaf0109461050258a7c72bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-278.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
2300 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 6?
1443 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-722.86
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 5?
1000 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-431.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on February 3?
1000 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-147.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
238 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-113.27
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 8?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 7?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$380.00Mar 1, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$1.3KFeb 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$82.04Feb 10, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$26.80Feb 10, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$2.30Feb 10, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$24.92Feb 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 8?$14.00Feb 8, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 7?$10.00Feb 8, 11:52 UTC
- REWARD$1.06Feb 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 7?$1.65Feb 6, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 6?$1.0KFeb 6, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 6?$0.51Feb 6, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 7?$2.00Feb 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 7?$3.85Feb 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 7?$2.00Feb 6, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 6?$0.05Feb 6, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 6?$532.00Feb 6, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 6?$470.00Feb 6, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 6?$470.00Feb 6, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 5?$1.0KFeb 6, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $153.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.