Posh-Hotdog
0x1440f43f17ff88350e9bfbca8040b776f4fe36f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.4K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Biden drop out by Monday?
6522 shares @ 94.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2024$0.00
$-6.2K
- NO
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?
4380 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-2.9K
- NO
Will Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?
2249 shares @ 82.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Trump tweet 5 times this week?
1736 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump tweet 2 times this week?
1505 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-85.42
- YES
Will Trump post 16-20 times this week?
1276 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2024$0.00
$-209.74
- YES
Will Trump tweet 3 times this week?
1099 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-68.50
- YES
Will Trump tweet 4 times this week?
920 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-55.25
- NO
Will Trump say "Tampon" during Elon interview?
432 shares @ 84.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-363.64
- YES
Will Trump tweet 1 time this week?
394 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-27.58
Recent activity
- REDEEM100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$51.29May 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$23.68Oct 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$19.17Oct 16, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ear" 3 or more times at his rally?$0.00Aug 22, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$18.80Aug 22, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$19.00Aug 22, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ear" 3 or more times at his rally?$18.59Aug 22, 22:34 UTC
- REWARD$0.79Aug 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?$5.66Aug 17, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump tweet 4 times this week?$2.83Aug 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump tweet 4 times this week?$2.83Aug 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?$8.88Aug 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump tweet 1 time this week?$8.87Aug 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?$4.72Aug 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump tweet 4 times this week?$4.33Aug 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?$65.52Aug 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?$57.33Aug 17, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump tweet 4 times this week?$42.14Aug 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?$38.50Aug 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump tweet 2 times this week?$28.55Aug 17, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $170.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 17:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".