Thirsty-Immigrant
0x14410242897c00afd6ddffed7d3f6fc1b5201294
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$63.82
Total PnL
$-2.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Airbnb (ABNB) close at >$145 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
5 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.21
$0.21
- NO
Will "Wicked: For Good" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Bill Ackman say "House" or "Housing" during the X Space event on November 18?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$4.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$5.00Dec 8, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$3.00Nov 19, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 17 above $240?$3.00Nov 19, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 17 above $235?$3.00Nov 19, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$3.00Nov 19, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb (ABNB) close at >$145 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$6.00Nov 19, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.00Nov 19, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Williams-Sonoma (WSM) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Nov 19, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Ackman say "House" or "Housing" during the X Space event on November 18?$4.00Nov 19, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$4.00Nov 19, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$3.00Nov 19, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.00Nov 19, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$5.00Nov 19, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$6.00Nov 19, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$5.00Nov 19, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".