Natural-Sick
0x14533c41c734bb4569af6fc78f34f1913d5aa680
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$929.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
27745 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
2584 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-201.80
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
2003 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.27
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1000 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-109.00
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
1000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-189.68
- YES
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
1000 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-145.53
- YES
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
894 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-599.29
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
OpenAI social app in 2025?
700 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-329.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$50.27Apr 12, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?$100.00Apr 2, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 12, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$100.00Mar 12, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$947.00Mar 9, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$500.00Mar 9, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$101.80Mar 7, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$100.00Mar 6, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$390.86Mar 6, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$496.32Mar 5, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$800.01Feb 28, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.3KFeb 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.4KFeb 28, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.83Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.9KFeb 28, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$153.73Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$65.63Feb 28, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $639.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.