Creative-Constitution
0x14617da20802d900e3470d1aedf4c0effb08c192
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.33
Total PnL
$-5.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$3.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Georgia be the closest state?
707 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-02?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.00Dec 2, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-10-02?$2.35Dec 2, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-10-02?$2.00Oct 2, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-02?$2.00Oct 2, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMMonkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$1.01Oct 2, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia be the closest state?$4.00Nov 12, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?$1.00Nov 12, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elizabeth Warren be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$0.00Nov 12, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.57Nov 12, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$14.54Nov 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.48Sep 17, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.49Sep 17, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1.16Jul 30, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.16Jul 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Jun 11, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".