Popular-Container
0x14619de097b1fbe058d6d36282662c20958a30a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$36.7K
Total PnL
$-737.9K
Realised
$-4.5K
Win rate
34%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
9062 shares @ 85.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.6K
$811.85
- NO
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
5965 shares @ 92.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.7K
$215.10
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
4721 shares @ 65.2¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.3K
$1.3K
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
7307 shares @ 63.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.1K
$-507.12
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
3175 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.1K
$37.43
- NO
OKX IPO in 2026?
3094 shares @ 74.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.8K
$526.98
- NO
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2756 shares @ 59.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.6K
$960.06
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
8799 shares @ 90.3¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$2.1K
$-5.9K
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2362 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.0K
$35.14
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
1476 shares @ 57.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$863.46
$16.48
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.63Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$758.08Jul 26, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$266.98Jul 26, 13:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
34% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
62 closed markets, 34% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $512.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.