Mild-Conifer
0x14633fec98bf62a66a53a692f025e739aa885373
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.66
Total PnL
$-2.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$4.00Apr 21, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00Apr 21, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$2.00Apr 21, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$2.00Apr 21, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.