Vain-Hearsay
0x146ddbae0a17c93df342680d878afa804d8317c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.1K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
58%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Fed rate cut by September 18?
35762 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-746.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
28771 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
26085 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-324.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
25006 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-112.93
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
23778 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-280.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
22262 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-386.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
21430 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-354.53
- YES
Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?
18615 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2024$0.00
$-140.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
18205 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-53.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
16556 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-30.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$13.00Jun 13, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.16Jun 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$13.00Jun 13, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.04Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.22Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.55Jun 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.20Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.20Jun 13, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.22Jun 13, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.09Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$3.72Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5.01Jun 13, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$53.99Jun 13, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$43.88Jun 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$17.54Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$43.81Jun 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$8.31Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$12.61Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$11.10Jun 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10.60Jun 13, 08:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.