Worthless-Chandelier
0x146f624c4e437fc9ffcbd0a6f554d8e391873358
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-362.92
Realised
$-2.65
Win rate
42%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 6?
991 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?
645 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 6?
572 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.74Jul 10, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.58Jul 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.01Jul 10, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.19Jul 10, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.92Jul 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.27Jul 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.03Jul 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.15Jul 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.02Jul 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.13Jul 10, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.02Jul 10, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.12Jul 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.01Jul 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.19Jul 10, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.02Jul 10, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.09Jul 10, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.02Jul 10, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.19Jul 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.01Jul 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.89Jul 10, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 09:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.