These-Armor
0x1473ef28dbf0f9e0a54f1d34701af280a88015b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$72.98
Total PnL
$-22.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$12.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Trump resign in 2025?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$10.00
$0.42
- NO
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.50
- NO
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.90
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.90
- NO
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?
10 shares @ 92.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.74
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
48 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- VITALITY
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZ
20 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-16.90
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$9.58Oct 9, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign in 2025?$10.00Sep 2, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.09Sep 2, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$10.00Aug 25, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?$5.21Aug 8, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$12.66Aug 8, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 15?$14.29Aug 8, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$41.76Aug 8, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Aug 7, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 7?$40.00Aug 7, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?$4.75Aug 5, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$4.55Aug 5, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?$4.55Aug 5, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?$4.63Aug 5, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $1.50Aug 5, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?$4.75Aug 5, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?$4.63Aug 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?$4.55Aug 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?$4.55Aug 5, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?$5.00Aug 5, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 11:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".