Honored-Bear
0x147d9e72786c147b3171cd9bec56dc85952eef1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$40.60
Total PnL
$-15.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Diane Keaton be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
4 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$4.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
4 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.14
$0.14
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
4 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$4.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$5.00Dec 8, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$3.02Nov 29, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?$3.26Nov 29, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$4.01Nov 29, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$5.02Nov 29, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$6.25Nov 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$2.25Nov 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$5.25Nov 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Nov 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$5.00Nov 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$4.00Nov 17, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?$4.00Nov 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$3.00Nov 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?$3.00Nov 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diane Keaton be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$5.00Nov 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.00Nov 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$3.00Nov 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$3.00Nov 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$4.00Nov 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 17, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".