Shrill-Silica
0x1489cf148a7fbfb97b0ded72a449ae5ec39d8f2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in November?
691 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 3, 6PM ET
142 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in November?
95 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
49 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-16.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6PM ET
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.04Feb 8, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.04Feb 8, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$6.68Feb 8, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$8.34Feb 8, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 38°F or higher on January 3?$0.00Jan 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "2026" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$0.00Jan 7, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 4?$0.00Jan 5, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on January 3?$0.00Jan 4, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on January 3?$0.00Jan 4, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C or higher on January 3?$0.00Jan 4, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on January 3?$0.00Jan 4, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on January 3?$0.00Jan 4, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 3, 8PM ET$0.00Jan 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "2026" this week? (December 29 - January 4)$8.44Jan 4, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Jan 4, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.30Jan 4, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$0.69Jan 4, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 63°F or below on January 3?$0.00Jan 4, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 3, 6PM ET$0.00Jan 4, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 3?$0.00Jan 4, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".