Small-Sunglasses-Vibration
0x148b92c68001e7e330fe0f66b450e1483e064ce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-61.80
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?
89 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
78 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
46 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
32 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
32 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?$10.19Aug 11, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?$10.31Aug 11, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.96Aug 10, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.05Aug 10, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.96Aug 10, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.92Aug 10, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.00Aug 10, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.96Aug 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.04Aug 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03Aug 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.05Aug 10, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.