Likely-Extreme
0x148e647b880377216d41bc95accfce5f3b84bb48
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
327051 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-571.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
50000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
21923 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
21500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-75.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
21263 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
21000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-504.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
11500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-33.98
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
8418 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-156.60
- YES
Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
7180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-48.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
6730 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?$0.00Jan 8, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?$0.00Jan 8, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?$0.00Jan 8, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-69 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?$0.00Jan 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?$0.00Jan 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?$0.00Jan 8, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$8.5KJan 8, 00:49 UTC
- REWARD$49.19Jan 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$3.7KJan 7, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$882.23Jan 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$209.19Jan 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$85.50Jan 7, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$2.50Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$524.52Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$7.42Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$130.31Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$163.85Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$53.50Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$1.58Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $169.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".