0x148eca05b7803265d0fceff0be24acb89674a431
0x148eca05b7803265d0fceff0be24acb89674a431
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
89000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-89.00
- YES
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?
6411 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?
2987 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
2818 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-02-22?
2563 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?
2563 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-19?
2500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?$800.00Apr 9, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-03-27?$2.5KMar 27, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?$277.00Mar 21, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$89.00Mar 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$50.00Mar 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLCeltics vs. Spurs$6.5KMar 11, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Spurs$4.0KMar 10, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$3.4KMar 10, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$1.0KMar 10, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$2.0KMar 10, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?$500.00Mar 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?$500.00Mar 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Pistons$180.00Mar 8, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$3.8KMar 6, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$1.4KMar 6, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$392.51Mar 1, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$500.00Feb 28, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$50.00Feb 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-28?$200.00Feb 28, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-28?$200.00Feb 28, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $937.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.