Stained-Deed
0x1491b4af8e878bb7f77464bb174db9cfd582bf42
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$13.36
Total PnL
$-28.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$0.02
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.04
$0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.25
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 10?
4118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 9?
1095 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 22?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?
1073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4?
1068 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?
1064 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.06May 21, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.03May 13, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.26May 5, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$1.02May 4, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.04May 4, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.34May 4, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.04Apr 22, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.26Apr 10, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?$3.19Mar 27, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 16?$2.13Mar 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7?$2.15Mar 7, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4?$3.20Mar 4, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 22?$2.16Feb 22, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?$4.25Feb 14, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.03Feb 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 9?$3.28Feb 9, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 2, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.02Feb 2, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 31?$1.0KFeb 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 31?$1.0KJan 31, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $376.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 03:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".