Extraneous-Smog
0x1491ef69d0c381a91413b5f18f6078bcb550223b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$11.10
Total PnL
$-11.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in October?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be under 300k?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 18?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on October 18?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.9KOct 15, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$950.00Oct 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.1KOct 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$14.50Oct 15, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$25.00Oct 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$20.50Oct 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$990.00Oct 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.0KOct 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.0KOct 15, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.0KOct 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0KOct 15, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$2.0KOct 15, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.0KOct 15, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$950.00Oct 15, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.1KOct 15, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.9KOct 15, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.1KOct 15, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.0KOct 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.5KOct 15, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$25.00Oct 15, 03:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $620.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 15, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.