Oily-Embellishment
0x14938104565f63da081ecdb7f555cb2520454e74
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$8.40
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
88 shares @ 6.9¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.40
$2.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
4190 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2635 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2634 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2378 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2378 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2367 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2367 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2362 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2361 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.07Mar 23, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.04Mar 23, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$5.00Mar 23, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$4.96Feb 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 5, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?$1.00Feb 5, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.01Feb 5, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.04Feb 5, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Dec 24, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.6KDec 24, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$10.00Dec 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.3KDec 24, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.3KDec 24, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Dec 24, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$2.6KDec 24, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$43.50Dec 24, 04:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $653.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".