Shameless-Certificate
0x14948e648e0d5e434415a8541e94dce354e09887
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.87
Total PnL
$-160.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
1248 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.87
$-8.13
- NO
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?
1253 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Hoppers" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
1247 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?
669 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 90% by March 31?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
191 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.00Mar 9, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.00Mar 9, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$9.65Mar 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" score at least 99 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$10.00Mar 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$10.00Mar 6, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$10.00Mar 6, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$10.00Mar 6, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$10.00Mar 6, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$25.81Mar 6, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$20.00Mar 6, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?$10.00Mar 6, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paradex launch a token on March 5?$10.00Mar 6, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 90% by March 31?$10.00Mar 6, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?$10.00Mar 6, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$10.00Mar 6, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Mar 6, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $9.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".