Cooked-Councilor
0x1498002767a64b36f881b0c2eccb0e9f27c01cae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
9114 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-617.83
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense in Trump's first 100 days?
1204 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-77.80
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
1168 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-397.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$498.75Jan 31, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$99.09Jan 29, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$20.00Jan 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$119.09Jan 26, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$32.75Jan 7, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown by October 1?$24.00Sep 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$20.00Sep 19, 19:57 UTC
- REWARD$4.27Apr 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$180.59Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$206.06Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$10.54Apr 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$85.92Apr 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$10.00Apr 21, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$100.00Apr 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$5.00Apr 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$100.00Apr 21, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.56Apr 21, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Apr 21, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.90Apr 21, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.00Apr 21, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $89.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.