Upbeat-Toughguy
0x149bec8e3083536db8e8e8f8ca2c8790c54f6460
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$54.99
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 25?$54.94Jan 25, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 17?$54.94Jan 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 17?$54.89Jan 17, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16?$54.88Jan 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16?$54.33Jan 16, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,200 on March 14?$54.00Mar 27, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,200 on March 14?$53.14Mar 13, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?$53.47Mar 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?$53.31Feb 25, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Pistons$0.00Dec 28, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Pistons$4.06Dec 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $3,900 on December 20?$4.06Dec 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,900 on December 20?$25.99Dec 16, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$25.99Dec 13, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$38.77Dec 13, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,000 on November 22?$38.78Nov 24, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,000 on November 22?$32.96Nov 20, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Clippers$32.96Nov 18, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Clippers$32.89Nov 18, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,000 on November 15?$32.90Nov 18, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $35.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.