Wallet digest

active

Activity score

48/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-0.45

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 45

YES
Will Kamala Harris get 82-84m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Kamala Harris get 88m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Kamala Harris get 72-74m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Kamala Harris get 86-88m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Kamala Harris get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will RFK Jr. win 5-6% of the popular vote?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Christian McCaffrey win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025
$0.00
$-0.01
YES
Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025
$0.00
$-0.01

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$2.99Jan 4, 04:10 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$3.00Jan 4, 04:09 UTC
TRADESELLWill Puka Nacua be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?$8.98Dec 29, 15:55 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Puka Nacua be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?$9.00Dec 29, 15:55 UTC
TRADESELLWill Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Flex Player?$4.98Dec 26, 20:16 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Flex Player?$5.00Dec 26, 20:15 UTC
TRADESELLWill another team win the Serie A?$6.99Dec 23, 20:36 UTC
TRADEBUYWill another team win the Serie A?$7.00Dec 23, 20:36 UTC
TRADESELLWill JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?$3.99Dec 21, 17:54 UTC
TRADEBUYWill JD Vance be the next Senate Majority Leader?$4.00Dec 21, 17:53 UTC
TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?$3.99Dec 19, 08:19 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?$4.00Dec 19, 08:18 UTC
REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win Maryland by the largest margin?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMWill Republicans control 221 seats in the House after the election?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win Connecticut by the largest margin?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMWill Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win New York by the largest margin?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win Rhode Island by the largest margin?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMWill Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC
REDEEMWill Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?$0.00Dec 16, 09:54 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity34 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 21
Avg trade size: $3.52
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 30, 18:50 UTC
Last active: Jan 4, 04:10 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 22:57:42 UTC·src:Polymarket Data